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LinkedIn | June 1, 2021
As the economy reopens from COVID-imposed shutdowns, many investors are understandably worried about inflation. Here’s our take.
At first glance, inflation appears primed to accelerate: consumers are eager to spend, being flush with both personal savings and trillions of dollars in stimulus. Demand has drained inventories, supply chains are experiencing logjams, and businesses can’t find workers. Worse, I’ve been unable to buy a plastic outdoor garden shed for weeks - they’re sold out everywhere.
But just like a few hot days don’t necessarily make a sweltering summer, a few “hot” data points don’t mean a price-spike inferno is inevitable. We expect inflation to spike over the next few months and level off toward year-end.
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